Projecting The 2013 Cardinals
You don’t need a crystal ball to know this: barring catastrophe, the 2013 Cardinals are going to be very, very good. Scary good. A lineup of powerful line-drive hitters supporting a seasoned staff and some scalding young arms – it’s going to be one hell of a summer.
Still, it’s fun to imagine the potential of this fully-loaded club. With the help of statistical analysis, we can sneak a hypothetical peek into what the future holds from our beloved team.
The pasty-white number crunchers over at Lindy’s released their statistical predictions for every player in baseball. It’s a thorough dissection of the player by numbers.
Here are the numbers for the potential 2013 Cardinal lineup:[table “9” not found /]
Overall, I’d be happy with numbers like these from our regular eight. Personally, I think the projections for Rafael Furcal are wildly optimistic (402 at-bats?) or almost dangerous (Allen Craig with 546 at-bats). The projections seem to prophesy declines for Matt Holliday, Carlos Beltran, Yadier Molina, and Jon Jay. The bigger question – can these guys hit like this with any kind of consistency? The massive slumps (particularly from Beltran and Jay) crippled this team in 2012.
Meanwhile, the projections look like this for the starting rotation (note: Jake Westbrook was not rated among the top 101 starters for 2013, a telling sign):[table “10” not found /]
Of course, I’d cry tears of joy if our starting rotation produced anything like those statistics. Jaime Garcia throwing 167 innings and winning 12 games feels like winning Powerball. Also seeing 196 innings from Chris Carpenter would be an amazing feat. I’m also a bit surprised that Adam Wainwright is projected to have a WHIP as high as that; he generally doesn’t walk many people.
Jason Motte is projected to have a 2.70 ERA with 37 saves and a tiny 1.09 WHIP.
None of this means anything, obviously; the fickle games are played between the lines months from now. Still, it’s fun to imagine a team with this much firepower producing anything like these optimistic predictions, isn’t it?